Min Raise or Shove?

The switch sits at roughly 13 big blinds. Below it the solver shoves 83 % of the time, above it it min-raises 80 % — and in between, at 11 to 15 big blinds, it is almost a tie. So there is no fixed rule, just a place where the ratio turns over.

The number

168 of the 178 opening spots in our library offer both: a min raise or a shove. Counted is which of the two the solver prefers per hand — hands it folds do not count.

StackMin raiseAll-inSpots
up to 10 big blinds17 %83 %32
11–15 big blinds49 %51 %30
16–25 big blinds74 %26 %45
over 25 big blinds80 %20 %61

In total: 6076 min raises against 3631 shoves — 63 to 37. So the min raise is the normal case, not the exception. The middle row rests on 30 spots; it shows that something turns over there, not at which blind exactly.

Why it turns over

At ten big blinds a raise to two is not a raise any more, it is an invitation: whoever calls sees a flop with almost your whole stack behind it. The shove takes that decision off the table — and that is exactly what it is for.

At twenty big blinds it reverses. A shove risks twenty to win one and a half; a raise to two risks two. The min raise wins the same blinds at a tenth of the cost — and leaves you the option of folding after the flop.

In between lies the place where both are worth about the same. It is not a threshold but a transition: at 11 to 15 big blinds the solver picks one way half the time and the other way the rest — depending on the hand, the seat, and who is sitting behind you.

Why there is no chart here

The answer of this article is a ratio, not a range. A 13×13 chart can show which hands get played — it cannot show that 63 % of them raise and 37 % shove. Two charts side by side would claim a sharpness that does not exist within a single spot.

Where this answer stops

All numbers describe the first entry into the pot, in tournaments with a payout ladder. Once somebody has raised in front of you it is a different question. And the 13 is rounded: it comes out of four steps, not out of a calculation.

Try it yourself

In the trainer you see both buttons side by side, and afterwards which one the solver picked and how often.

Play opening spots in the trainer Push or fold by stack size